Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.004014 0.004219 0.004430 0.004662 0.004911 0.005171 0.005463
2024-12-29 0.003587 0.003887 0.004208 0.004578 0.004994 0.005449 0.005986
2025-01-05 0.003317 0.003667 0.004052 0.004508 0.005038 0.005637 0.006372
2025-01-12 0.003159 0.003549 0.003987 0.004520 0.005156 0.005896 0.006833
2025-01-19 0.002932 0.003335 0.003794 0.004363 0.005056 0.005881 0.006952
2025-01-26 0.002834 0.003261 0.003758 0.004384 0.005163 0.006112 0.007376
2025-02-02 0.002801 0.003261 0.003805 0.004504 0.005392 0.006499 0.008016
2025-02-09 0.002686 0.003155 0.003717 0.004450 0.005395 0.006596 0.008278
2025-02-16 0.002605 0.003087 0.003671 0.004443 0.005455 0.006767 0.008642
2025-02-23 0.002522 0.003012 0.003613 0.004416 0.005486 0.006895 0.008953
2025-03-02 0.002479 0.002985 0.003612 0.004462 0.005612 0.007156 0.009460
2025-03-09 0.002403 0.002913 0.003551 0.004425 0.005624 0.007257 0.009741
2025-03-16 0.002327 0.002839 0.003486 0.004383 0.005629 0.007353 0.010026
2025-03-23 0.002239 0.002748 0.003396 0.004304 0.005580 0.007370 0.010196
2025-03-30 0.002164 0.002670 0.003320 0.004240 0.005547 0.007408 0.010395
2025-04-06 0.002121 0.002635 0.003300 0.004251 0.005621 0.007602 0.010849
2025-04-13 0.002023 0.002522 0.003172 0.004107 0.005464 0.007445 0.010730
2025-04-20 0.001991 0.002496 0.003160 0.004126 0.005546 0.007649 0.011209
2025-04-27 0.001993 0.002517 0.003212 0.004236 0.005766 0.008076 0.012084
2025-05-04 0.001939 0.002459 0.003154 0.004186 0.005742 0.008120 0.012311
2025-05-11 0.001902 0.002424 0.003128 0.004180 0.005784 0.008269 0.012729
2025-05-18 0.001862 0.002383 0.003090 0.004155 0.005796 0.008370 0.013067
2025-05-25 0.001844 0.002374 0.003097 0.004198 0.005913 0.008647 0.013740